Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001569 0.001631 0.001694 0.001764 0.001840 0.001920 0.002011
2025-07-20 0.001461 0.001549 0.001642 0.001750 0.001873 0.002008 0.002171
2025-07-27 0.001395 0.001501 0.001618 0.001758 0.001923 0.002113 0.002353
2025-08-03 0.001332 0.001449 0.001582 0.001745 0.001943 0.002180 0.002493
2025-08-10 0.001294 0.001423 0.001571 0.001758 0.001991 0.002280 0.002681
2025-08-17 0.001251 0.001386 0.001545 0.001748 0.002009 0.002342 0.002822
2025-08-24 0.001209 0.001349 0.001515 0.001731 0.002013 0.002385 0.002938
2025-08-31 0.001196 0.001345 0.001524 0.001762 0.002082 0.002516 0.003197
2025-09-07 0.001173 0.001327 0.001515 0.001769 0.002117 0.002603 0.003398
2025-09-14 0.001142 0.001298 0.001489 0.001751 0.002116 0.002639 0.003520
2025-09-21 0.001110 0.001266 0.001459 0.001726 0.002104 0.002653 0.003608
2025-09-28 0.001085 0.001242 0.001438 0.001712 0.002105 0.002688 0.003736
2025-10-05 0.001043 0.001196 0.001388 0.001656 0.002043 0.002624 0.003681
2025-10-12 0.001024 0.001178 0.001373 0.001650 0.002055 0.002676 0.003848
2025-10-19 0.001011 0.001169 0.001371 0.001660 0.002090 0.002768 0.004107
2025-10-26 0.000992 0.001151 0.001354 0.001649 0.002093 0.002807 0.004267
2025-11-02 0.000983 0.001144 0.001354 0.001660 0.002132 0.002908 0.004579
2025-11-09 0.000966 0.001128 0.001340 0.001652 0.002138 0.002955 0.004779
2025-11-16 0.000948 0.001110 0.001322 0.001637 0.002131 0.002976 0.004924
2025-11-23 0.000946 0.001113 0.001333 0.001665 0.002197 0.003138 0.005462
2025-11-30 0.000937 0.001105 0.001329 0.001671 0.002226 0.003233 0.005859
2025-12-07 0.000921 0.001088 0.001312 0.001655 0.002218 0.003253 0.006044
2025-12-14 0.000903 0.001069 0.001291 0.001633 0.002197 0.003246 0.006145